Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.032230 0.038043 0.044082 0.050786 0.057982 0.065444 0.073732
2026-01-18 0.023429 0.031646 0.040723 0.051318 0.063187 0.075938 0.090548
2026-01-25 0.017781 0.027289 0.038386 0.051875 0.067478 0.084668 0.104774
2026-02-01 0.013486 0.023622 0.036103 0.051839 0.070538 0.091559 0.116542
2026-02-08 0.009284 0.019249 0.032331 0.049496 0.070465 0.094510 0.123525
2026-02-15 0.006675 0.016478 0.030168 0.048768 0.072016 0.099098 0.132164
2026-02-22 0.005099 0.014880 0.029310 0.049487 0.075160 0.105427 0.142704
2026-03-01 0.003881 0.013565 0.028660 0.050334 0.078356 0.111735 0.153150
2026-03-08 0.003092 0.012802 0.028683 0.051984 0.082488 0.119114 0.164814
2026-03-15 0.002281 0.011753 0.028153 0.052801 0.085505 0.125103 0.174800
2026-03-22 0.002193 0.012233 0.029961 0.056814 0.092595 0.136032 0.190647
2026-03-29 0.001300 0.010498 0.028135 0.055691 0.093019 0.138789 0.196729
2026-04-05 0.000855 0.009704 0.027825 0.056775 0.096445 0.145419 0.207701
2026-04-12 0.000448 0.008675 0.027014 0.057102 0.098876 0.150844 0.217272
2026-04-19 0.000194 0.007822 0.026399 0.057649 0.101557 0.156556 0.227174
2026-04-26 0.000037 0.006853 0.025438 0.057603 0.103395 0.161175 0.235724
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005251 0.022979 0.055126 0.101834 0.161436 0.238891
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004326 0.021697 0.054356 0.102526 0.164491 0.245426
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003890 0.021406 0.055116 0.105304 0.170182 0.255186
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003526 0.021217 0.056012 0.108254 0.176083 0.265197
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003386 0.021551 0.057754 0.112385 0.183500 0.277079
2026-06-07 NaN 0.003064 0.021367 0.058617 0.115266 0.189299 0.286956
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003488 0.023189 0.062849 0.122922 0.201271 0.304491